National Quantum Mission · DST Task Force, May 2026

The migration roadmap to quantum resiliency

The DST Task Force on Implementation of a Quantum-Safe Ecosystem in India lays out a phased migration with two adopter tracks and three milestones. KavachQ implements it end-to-end.

Critical Information Infrastructure
PREPARATION
2027
HIGH PRIORITY
2028
FULL RESILIENCY
2029
Regular Enterprises
PREPARATION
2028
HIGH PRIORITY
2030
FULL RESILIENCY
2033
Strategic Imperative

Why the deadline is non-negotiable

The Harvest Now, Decrypt Later (HNDL) strategy deployed by global adversaries has fundamentally altered the cybersecurity risk horizon. Data encrypted today with classical algorithms (RSA, ECC) is already vulnerable to retroactive decryption by future quantum computers.

Recognising this threat, the National Quantum Mission (NQM) has released a strategic roadmap defining a rigid timeline for India's transition to Post-Quantum Cryptography (PQC), treating it as a non-negotiable aspect of national security and economic resilience.

Key insight for leadership: the question is not whether to migrate, but how quickly your organisation can complete the transition.

Organisations that begin now will complete migration within normal planning and budget cycles. Those that delay will face compressed timelines, higher costs, and potential compliance violations.

The Task Force frames the threat as two parallel attack patterns: HNDLHarvest Now, Decrypt Later, where adversaries store today's encrypted traffic for future quantum decryption — and TNFLTrust Now, Forge Later, where signatures issued today are forged after Q-Day arrives.

Q-Day Compression

“Within the next three years.”

The DST report cites the IonQ CEO at the World Economic Forum (Davos, January 2026) warning that Q-Day — when quantum computers break widely used public-key cryptography — may arrive within three years.

Executive Posture

70% expect a strike in five years.

The DST report cites a Bain & Company assessment: 70% of executives expect quantum-enabled cyberattacks within five years; nearly a third expect them within three. Most organisations have no plan in place.

Apply Mosca's Inequality

If X + Y > Z, your data is already at risk

Coined by Michele Mosca, this is the standard heuristic for quantum-readiness planning: how long must your data stay secret (X), how long will migration take you (Y), and when will a CRQC arrive (Z)?

7 years

How many years must this data remain confidential after creation?

4 years

Realistic time to discover, refactor, and roll out PQC across your estate.

10 years

Conservative estimates place a Cryptographically Relevant Quantum Computer in the early-2030s.

RESULT
7 + 4 = 11 vs Z = 10

Overview & Key Stats

The first consolidated national plan

The Task Force report lays out India's first consolidated strategic roadmap for transitioning the nation's digital infrastructure to quantum-resistant cryptography. It covers all sectors: defence, power, telecom, banking, healthcare, education, and general IT.

The Task Force was constituted under the National Quantum Mission (NQM), approved by the cabinet in April 2023 with a budget of ₹6,003.65 crore (~$700 million) through 2031. The NQM operates through four Thematic Hubs at IISc Bengaluru, IIT Madras with C-DOT, IIT Bombay, and IIT Delhi, collectively involving 152 researchers from 43 institutions across 17 states.

India adopts NIST-selected algorithms (ML-KEM, ML-DSA, SLH-DSA) as the foundation for quantum-safe cryptography. While QKD research continues for specialised applications, PQC is the preferred approach for broad enterprise and government deployments due to its software-based nature and compatibility with existing infrastructure.

₹6,003Cr
Total NQM Budget
2023–2031
4
Thematic Hubs
Computing · Comms · Sensing · Materials
2027–29
CII Target
Critical Information Infrastructure
2028–33
Enterprise Target
Government & Private Sector
152
NQM Researchers
43 institutions · 17 states + 2 UTs
4
NIST Standards
FIPS 203 · 204 · 205 · 206
Global PQC Migration Timelines

How India compares to global peers

A comparative view of published PQC migration timelines by country, with budget allocations and transition targets.

Source: DST Task Force Report (Feb 2026), Section 4.0. The U.S. estimates $7.1 billion for federal PQC migration alone over 2025–2035.

Steps Towards Quantum Resiliency

Two tracks, three milestones

CII (defence, power, telecom, ISRO, DRDO, ONGC) follows an accelerated timeline. Other government and private enterprises follow a standard track.

CII Track
2027 → 2029
Accelerated migration for critical infrastructure operators.
CII · 2027

Inventorisation, QRA, Pilots

Lay the foundation encompassing leadership, crypto inventory, Quantum Risk Analysis and prioritisation. Start migration of high-priority systems.

Governance & Strategy
  • Build Quantum Function and allocate resources
  • Unite cross-functional teams for quarterly visibility
  • Create roadmap based on assessed risks
  • Develop contingency planning for crypto eventualities
Discovery & Inventory
  • Identify and classify all cryptographic assets
  • Request CBOM disclosure from suppliers
  • Map dependencies to business systems and vendors
Quantum Risk Analysis
  • Conduct quantum risk assessments and evaluate exposure
  • Identify cryptographic components at risk
  • Apply Mosca's Theorem for prioritisation
Adopting Crypto Agility
  • Establish crypto agility as a core principle
  • Plan for repeated algorithmic transitions
  • Mandate crypto-agile design for new products
PoCs for High Priority Systems
  • Start pilots in sandbox environments
  • Align vendors and partners early in migration
  • Validate costs and feasibility
Assurance & Oversight
  • Ensure third-party validation
  • Select quantum-resilience strategy (PQC or QKD)
  • Confirm transitions meet standards
CII · 2028

Complete resiliency for high-priority systems

Build quantum-resiliency for high-priority systems and products, institutionalise crypto-agility, and mandate CBOM from vendors.

Governance & Strategy
  • Scale pilot learnings into funded programmes
  • Mandate "no new classical-only deployments"
  • Continuously monitor PQC and QKD developments
Supplier Enforcement
  • Require CBOMs and migration roadmaps from suppliers
  • Enforce PQC/Hybrid cryptography and crypto-agility
  • Upgrade commitments via procurements
Migration of High Priority Systems
  • Transition systems identified through risk assessment
  • Implement PKI with PQC/hybrid certificates
  • Mandate PQC-capable signatures for new software
Infrastructure Readiness
  • Upgrade HSMs, KMS, and crypto libraries
  • Benchmark performance of Quantum Resiliency solutions
  • Align infrastructure and ESG goals
Assurance & Oversight
  • Engage third-party audits for compliance
  • Implement telemetry for migration metrics
  • Develop response playbooks for updates
Workforce Readiness
  • Embed PQC in cybersecurity and DevOps training
  • Document migration learnings and reference guides
  • Provide quantum readiness training for teams
CII · 2029

Complete quantum resiliency

Achieve full Quantum Resiliency, establish resiliency as the whole-of-enterprise approach, and sustain continuous assurance and continual agility.

Governance & Strategy
  • Make PQC/Hybrid the organisational standard
  • Periodically review algorithms as part of crypto lifecycle
Enterprise-wide Migration
  • Transition all infrastructure to PQC/Hybrid
  • Use layered controls for legacy systems
  • Run PQC-only trust chains internally
  • Shift all digital signatures to PQC-based algorithms
Supply Chain Stabilisation
  • Require all vendors to prove crypto-agility
  • Maintain clear register tracking vendor algorithms
  • Establish long-term certification and audit checks
Continuing Momentum
  • Continuously monitor evolving standards
  • Use sandbox testbeds for new PQC primitives
  • Rapidly update through crypto-agile controls
Enterprise Track
2028 → 2033
Standard timeline for government and private enterprises beyond CII.
ENTERPRISE · 2028

Inventorisation, QRA, Pilots

Lay the foundation encompassing leadership, crypto inventory, Quantum Risk Analysis and prioritisation. Start migration of high-priority systems.

ENTERPRISE · 2030

Complete resiliency for high-priority systems

Build quantum-resiliency for high-priority systems and products, institutionalise crypto-agility, and mandate CBOM from vendors.

ENTERPRISE · 2033

Complete quantum resiliency

Achieve full Quantum Resiliency, establish resiliency as the whole-of-enterprise approach, and sustain continuous assurance and continual agility.

Prioritisation Personas

Not all organisations face the same urgency

The Task Force defines four priority tiers based on data sensitivity, regulatory exposure, and national security relevance.

Tier 1

Urgent Adopters (CII)

CII operators handling data with the longest shelf life and operating systems with the slowest refresh cycles. Both HNDL and TNFL risks are highest. These organisations face existential threats from quantum-capable adversaries.

Defence · Power · Telecom · ISRO · DRDO · ONGC · Banking Core
Tier 2

Regular Adopters (Enterprise)

Enterprises with moderate risk profiles, shorter data sensitivity windows but large attack surfaces. Migration complexity is high due to diverse vendor ecosystems and regulatory requirements.

Government · Financial Services · Healthcare · Insurance · IT Services
Tier 3

Technology Vendors

Supply-side linchpin. Without PQC-ready products from this group, neither urgent nor regular adopters can migrate. CBOM submissions mandatory from FY 2027–28.

HSM vendors · Cloud providers · PKI operators · Network equipment
National Testing & Certification Framework

Four assurance levels, three lab tiers

Sub-Group I (led by TEC) defines a national risk-based framework for validating PQC products. Higher assurance levels inherit compliance with all lower levels. Certificate validity is risk-aligned, from three years at L1 to ten years at L4.

L1 · 3 yr validity

Basic Conformance

For low-risk consumer-grade environments. Focus on correct PQC implementation, interoperability, and baseline performance.

Tier-1 labs · TEC / BIS upgrades
L2A / L2B / L2C · 5 yr

Secure Software & Hardware

Medium-risk handling sensitive data. L2A software security; L2B IT/IoT hardware; L2C operational technology hardware.

Tier-2 labs · BIS / STQC / CERT-In / NCCS
L3 · 7 yr

Enterprise Infrastructure

High-risk enterprise-grade environments (banking, telecom, healthcare). Long-term security, crypto-agility, enterprise integration.

Tier-3 labs · PPP model
L4 · 10 yr

Critical Infrastructure

Very-high-risk sovereign critical infrastructure. Focus on indigenous cryptographic implementations to reduce dependence on external validation ecosystems.

Tier-3 labs · sovereign grade

Tier-1 and Tier-2 laboratories to be operational by December 2026. Tier-3 (L3/L4) to be upgraded over 2028–2030 under a Public–Private Partnership model.

Key Recommendations

Eight strategic moves

For government, industry, and academia to accelerate India's quantum resiliency.

01

Launch PQC pilots

In high-priority systems (banking, finance, government).

02

Communicate widely

To ministries (Railways, Finance, Power) and regulators (SEBI, RBI, CERC).

03

Operationalise labs

Tier-1 and Tier-2 labs under TEC/STQC/BIS by Dec 2026.

04

Crypto-agile procurement

Mandate compulsory BOM across all government RFPs.

05

Preferential consideration

Of indigenously developed quantum-safe products.

06

Migrate long-lifetime systems

Validate through independent testing.

07

Upgrade to Tier-3

Select labs to sovereign-grade PQC testing facilities.

08

National testbeds

PQC-ready PKI and capacity building for CISOs and DevOps.

Markets & Dual-Track Strategy

PQC at scale, QKD for the backbone

The DST roadmap pairs broad PQC adoption with targeted QKD deployment for strategic links. Global market projections (cited in Section 8.0) underline the dual-track urgency.

PQC Market
USD 2.84 B

projected market by 2030 · MarketsandMarkets, Oct 2025

PQC is the primary mitigation — software-based, internet-scale, drops into TLS/IKE/PKI, and is what KavachQ implements end-to-end.

QKD Market
USD 2.63 B

projected market by 2030 · MarketsandMarkets, Feb 2025

NQM targets inter-city QKD up to 2,000 km over optical fibre and satellite QKD over 2,000 km. KavachQ supports composite PQC–QKD where QKD is deployed.

Key Challenges

Acknowledging the gaps

The report identifies key challenges in post-quantum migration and notes that the framework is advisory. Actual enforcement rests with sectoral regulators. It recommends a coordinated, phased approach supported by vendor enablement, performance engineering, skills development, and independent assurance.

Failure to act within the current planning window may result in irreversible compromise of confidential data, erosion of trust in digital governance, exposure of financial systems, and forced emergency migration under crisis conditions.

This summary is based on "Implementation of Quantum Safe Ecosystem in India: Report of the Task Force" published by the Department of Science & Technology, Government of India, February 2026. This is a neutral perspective and does not reflect official positions of any government, organisation, or entity.